IMD forecasts below-normal rainfall for August, above-normal temperatures

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has predicted below-normal rainfall for August, with precipitation expected to be less than 94% of the long period average. This forecast also extends to the second half of the southwest monsoon season (August-September). While some parts of peninsular, central, eastern, and northwestern India might receive normal to above-normal rainfall, maximum temperatures are expected to remain above normal across most of the country. Moderate El Niño conditions are likely to strengthen, though a positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) could develop in September, potentially aiding monsoon rains.

Key Points

  • IMD predicts below-normal rainfall for August, less than 94% of the long period average.
  • The forecast also indicates below-normal rainfall for the second half of the southwest monsoon season.
  • Maximum temperatures are expected to be above normal across most of the country.
  • Moderate El Niño conditions are expected to strengthen, while a positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) might develop in September.
  • Despite earlier subdued forecasts, July rainfall was near normal (101% of usual amount).

Exam Facts

  • Agency: India Meteorological Department (IMD).
  • Forecast: Below-normal rainfall (<94% of long period average) for August.
  • Phenomena: El Niño, Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD).
  • Monsoon months: June, July, August, September.

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All current affairs of 1 August 2026