China is entering a new phase of its "rural revitalisation plan," aiming to address the stark divide between its ultra-modern cities and its rural countryside. Since 2012, the Chinese government has focused on "targeted poverty alleviation," lifting nearly 100 million people out of poverty. The strategy involves heavy investment in infrastructure (windmills, roads), promoting local industries like tea production, and inter-provincial cooperation where developed regions invest in poorer western provinces. By 2035, China aims to achieve "socialist modernisation," ensuring that rural areas share in the nation's economic prosperity through sustainable development and improved living standards.
- China's 'rural revitalisation plan' aims to tackle major rural issues by 2027 and achieve full modernisation by 2035.
- The 'targeted poverty alleviation' program focused on specific counties, using criteria to identify and support the most impoverished regions.
- Economic development in rural areas is driven by a mix of state-led investment, cooperative models, and the promotion of local agricultural products for global markets.
Parliament has approved the Central Excise (Amendment) Bill, 2025, which allows for the levy of excise duty on tobacco and related products. This move comes as the GST compensation cess is set to expire in December. Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman clarified that this is not an additional tax burden but a continuation of the existing tax structure under a different mechanism. Tobacco products will continue to be taxed at the 40% "demerit" category rate. The Bill ensures that the revenue stream from tobacco remains stable even after the transition away from the compensation cess regime.
- The Central Excise (Amendment) Bill, 2025, was passed to maintain tax levels on tobacco after the GST compensation cess ends.
- Tobacco remains in the highest GST slab of 40%, classified as a 'demerit' good.
- The transition ensures that the total tax burden on the consumer remains unchanged while shifting the collection mechanism.
Russian President Vladimir Putin's visit to India highlights the "tightrope walk" the Modi government must perform between its traditional ties with Russia and its growing partnerships with the West. Key discussion points include oil imports, which have surged since the Ukraine conflict, and defense cooperation, specifically the S-400 missile system. India faces potential sanctions under the U.S. CAATSA act. The visit also explores a labor mobility agreement for Indian workers and the development of the Eastern Maritime Corridor. The timing is significant as India prepares to host Western leaders for Republic Day and the EU-India summit.
- India's oil imports from Russia have grown from less than 2% to nearly 40% of its oil basket since the start of the Ukraine conflict.
- The S-400 air defense system deal remains a point of contention with the U.S., potentially triggering CAATSA sanctions.
- Both nations are working on a labor mobility agreement to provide jobs for Indian skilled and semi-skilled workers in Russia.
The Indian rupee depreciated to a record low of ₹90.15 against the US dollar. Experts attribute this decline to the delay in the U.S.-India trade deal and the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) current strategy of less aggressive intervention compared to previous years. Foreign investors selling Indian stocks and moving to U.S., European, and Japanese markets have also created a flight of dollars. While a weaker rupee helps exporters by making Indian goods cheaper abroad, it increases the cost of imports, though the impact on the consumer price index is currently considered manageable by economists.
- The rupee breached the psychological barrier of ₹90 per dollar, closing at an all-time low of ₹90.15.
- Flight of capital from Indian equity markets to foreign markets is a major factor in the rupee's decline.
- The RBI has been less interventionist, selling fewer dollars from its reserves than in previous periods to arrest depreciation.
While India has reformed its mining laws to encourage exploration of critical minerals like lithium and cobalt, it lacks large-scale processing and refining capacity. Currently, most raw ores are sent abroad, primarily to China, for refining into battery-grade materials. The article suggests five steps: establishing Centres of Excellence for innovation, unlocking secondary resources from industrial waste like fly ash, upskilling the workforce in hydrometallurgy, de-risking investments through government off-take commitments, and pursuing 'mineral diplomacy' to acquire processing technology. Processing is the 'missing link' that determines if India remains a raw material supplier or becomes a clean energy leader.
- China controls over 90% of global rare earth and graphite refining, creating a significant supply chain vulnerability for India.
- India's Mines and Minerals (Development and Regulation) Act has been amended to support domestic mining through exploration licenses.
- Secondary sources like red mud from aluminum plants and fly ash from coal plants contain valuable rare earth elements.
Finland plans to hold roadshows across major Indian cities to highlight opportunities in the circular economy, ahead of India hosting the World Circular Economy Forum in 2026. The initiative aims to shift the focus from mere waste management to product design and production that extends product lifespans. Transitioning to a circular model could bring significant economic benefits, estimated at $4.5 trillion globally by 2030, and create millions of jobs in India. Finnish organizations like SITRA are emphasizing the business potential in closing the value chain and securing sustainable supply chains.
- India is set to host the World Circular Economy Forum in October 2026.
- The circular economy focuses on sustainable product lifecycles rather than just recycling and waste management.
- India's circular economy is projected to have a market value of $2 trillion and create 10 million jobs by 2050.
The latest Periodic Labour Force Survey (PLFS) for the July-September 2025 quarter reveals that the rural unemployment rate for persons aged 15 and above dropped to 4.4% from 4.8% in the previous quarter. Conversely, urban unemployment saw a slight increase, rising to 6.2% for males and 9.0% for females. The overall unemployment rate in India fell to 5.2% from 5.4%. The survey highlights that self-employment remains the dominant form of work in rural areas (62.8%), while regular wage or salaried employment is more common in urban centers (49.8%).
- Rural unemployment decreased due to seasonal agricultural operations during the July-September period.
- The overall Labour Force Participation Rate (LFPR) among females increased to 33.7%, driven largely by rural improvements.
- Agriculture remains the primary employer for the rural workforce, accounting for 57.7% of jobs.
The Union Government has officially constituted the 8th Central Pay Commission (CPC) to review the salary structures, retirement benefits, and service conditions of Central government employees and defense personnel. Chaired by retired Justice Ranjana Prakash Desai, the commission includes Professor Pulak Ghosh and Pankaj Jain IAS. The commission is mandated to submit its report within 18 months. Key considerations for the 8th CPC include fiscal prudence, developmental expenditure needs, and the impact of non-contributory pension schemes on the exchequer, with the pension bill for 2025-26 estimated at ₹2.76 lakh crore.
- The 8th CPC will examine salary structures for both civilian and defense personnel of the Central government.
- The commission must balance employee compensation with the government's fiscal health and developmental spending needs.
- Entry-level public sector posts often have higher salaries than private counterparts, while top positions lag behind, affecting talent retention.
The Union Government has notified the 'Sustainable Harnessing of Fisheries in the Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ)' rules to regulate deep-sea fishing. The rules prioritize fishermen cooperative societies and Fish Farmer Producer Organisations (FFPOs) for operating technologically advanced vessels. The initiative aims to enhance seafood exports through value addition, traceability, and certification while conserving marine biodiversity. It prohibits harmful practices like LED light fishing and pair trawling. In island regions like Andaman & Nicobar and Lakshadweep, which account for 49% of India's EEZ, the use of mother-and-child vessels will be promoted to boost high-quality fish exports and sustainable livelihoods.
- New rules regulate fishing operations within India's Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) beyond 12 nautical miles.
- Priority is given to cooperatives and FFPOs to manage technologically advanced deep-sea vessels.
- Harmful practices such as LED light fishing and bull trawling are banned to protect the marine ecosystem.
Prime Minister Narendra Modi flagged off four new Vande Bharat Express services, including the Varanasi-Khajuraho route. Other new services will operate on the Ernakulam-Bengaluru, Lucknow-Saharanpur, and Firozpur-Delhi routes. These indigenous semi-high-speed trains are designed to enhance regional connectivity, reduce travel time, and boost economic activities such as tourism. The PM emphasized that trains like Vande Bharat, Namo Bharat, and Amrit Bharat are laying the foundation for the next generation of Indian Railways. The expansion is expected to significantly benefit regional economies by facilitating pilgrimage and supporting local businesses through improved mobility.
- Four new Vande Bharat routes were launched, connecting key cities like Varanasi, Khajuraho, Bengaluru, and Delhi.
- The Vande Bharat project aims to improve regional connectivity, mobility, and support eco-numeric activities.
- The Prime Minister highlighted the role of modern infrastructure in achieving rapid national development.
Amidst rising wealth inequality and automation-driven job insecurity, there is a growing call for Universal Basic Income (UBI) in India. India's Gini coefficient stands at 75, with the top 1% holding 40% of national wealth. UBI is proposed as a periodic, unconditional cash transfer to provide economic security and bypass administrative inefficiencies of targeted welfare. While funding is a major concern (estimated at 5% of GDP), pilot studies in Madhya Pradesh showed improved nutrition and school attendance. A phased rollout for vulnerable groups is suggested as a practical implementation strategy.
- India ranks 4th globally in income inequality according to the Press Information Bureau.
- Automation could displace up to 800 million jobs globally by 2030, making UBI a potential safety net.
- UBI aims to provide a floor of economic security, restoring consumer demand and dignity to unpaid labor.
ISRO Chairman announced that the first Polar Satellite Launch Vehicle (PSLV) developed by a private consortium led by Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL) and Larsen & Toubro (L&T) is scheduled for launch in February 2026. This initiative marks a major step in privatizing India's space technology and production. Currently, Indian industry contributes 80% to 85% of systems for major missions like LVM-3 M5. The goal is to transfer at least 50% of PSLV production directly to the industry consortium to enhance India's global competitiveness in satellite launches and space applications.
- A consortium led by HAL and L&T has produced the first privately developed PSLV rocket.
- The launch is part of a broader strategy to involve Indian industry in 50% of PSLV production.
- Over 450 Indian industries and 330+ start-ups are currently contributing to the national space programme.
The upcoming Household Income Survey 2026 aims to provide a detailed snapshot of Indian households' income, expenses, and changing dynamics. Unlike previous surveys that relied on consumption data as a proxy for income, this survey will collect direct data on regular salaries, allowances, and even specific state-level schemes. However, a pilot test revealed that nearly 95% of respondents found the questions intrusive, particularly regarding income taxes. The survey faces challenges in data accuracy due to respondent reluctance and difficulties in recalling financial details like interest from fixed deposits or stock options.
- This is the first survey of its kind in India to collect detailed information on regular salaries, overtime, bonuses, and severance payments.
- It aims to capture data on social groups, land ownership, and specific agricultural inputs to assess schemes like 'doubling farmers' income.'
- Pilot testing showed significant respondent hesitation, with many refusing to answer questions about income taxes or detailed financial assets.
The Financial Action Task Force (FATF) has released new 'Asset Recovery Guidance and Best Practices' to strengthen the global fight against financial crimes. India's Enforcement Directorate (ED) played a key role in developing these standards. For the first time, FATF has mandated that countries provide for non-conviction-based confiscation, allowing authorities to recover assets even without a criminal conviction. The guidance promotes tools like extended confiscations and unexplained wealth orders. This recognition reflects India's growing international standing in financial crime enforcement and its effective models for inter-agency coordination in asset recovery.
- The new FATF framework covers the entire process from identifying criminal property to its eventual confiscation and return to victims or the state.
- Non-conviction-based confiscation is now a mandated standard for countries when prosecution is not possible or practical.
- India's ED provided multiple case examples that served as global models for effective asset recovery practice and inter-agency coordination.
The BRICS grouping is intensifying efforts to reduce dependence on the U.S. dollar-dominated international financial system. A key initiative is the BRICS Cross-Border Payments Initiative (BRICS Pay), aimed at creating a messaging system to rival SWIFT. Driven by a desire for financial sovereignty and a need to bypass Western sanctions, member nations are exploring the interoperability of their national payment systems, such as India's UPI and Brazil's Pix. While a prototype was unveiled at the 2024 Kazan Summit, challenges remain due to the varying ambitions of individual member countries and the complexity of creating a cohesive multi-national infrastructure.
- BRICS Pay is intended to be a decentralized messaging system for international money transfers, reducing reliance on the SWIFT network.
- The 2024 Kazan Summit underscored the importance of strengthening correspondent banking networks and settlements in local currencies.
- The initiative gained momentum following Western sanctions on Russia, prompting a search for alternative financial architectures.
During a meeting between External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar and Bahrain's Foreign Minister Abdullatif bin Rashid Alzayani, India and Bahrain agreed to enhance collaboration in defense, security, and trade. A key outcome was the agreement to develop a common understanding to commence negotiations for a Double Taxation Avoidance Agreement (DTAA). This agreement aims to eliminate double taxation, provide tax certainty, and promote bilateral investment. Both nations also reaffirmed their commitment to combating terrorism and discussed regional stability, including the Gaza peace plan. India remains one of Bahrain's top five trading partners.
- India and Bahrain are initiating negotiations for a Double Taxation Avoidance Agreement (DTAA) to boost bilateral economic ties.
- The DTAA is expected to provide tax certainty and promote cross-border investments between the two nations.
- India is currently among the top five trading partners of the Kingdom of Bahrain, highlighting strong economic interdependence.
Despite rapid renewable growth, India's grid emission factor (GEF) has increased, indicating a dirtier grid due to the capacity-generation mismatch of renewables. Solar and wind have low capacity utilization (15-25%) compared to coal. The article argues that energy efficiency is the 'first fuel' and must be prioritized to actually decarbonize the grid. India saved about 200 million tonnes of oil equivalent between FY2017-18 and FY2022-23 through efficiency measures, saving ₹7,60,000 crore. Recommendations include enabling virtual power plants, accelerating appliance standards, and introducing scrapage incentives for old, inefficient equipment to manage peak demand effectively.
- India's grid emission factor (GEF) has risen from 0.703 to 0.727 tCO2/MWh, showing the grid is becoming more carbon-intensive despite renewable growth.
- Renewables like solar and wind have low capacity utilization (15-25%), requiring fossil fuel plants to act as 'shock absorbers' during peak demand.
- Energy efficiency measures saved India approximately 200 million tonnes of oil equivalent and ₹7.6 lakh crore over a five-year period.
The Indian IT industry, contributing 7% to the GDP, faces a profound metamorphosis driven by AI automation and shifting global demands. The current 'Layoff Wave' is a symptom of structural changes where routine tasks like basic coding are being replaced by AI-driven transformation. Furthermore, restrictive US immigration policies and increased H-1B visa fees are forcing Indian firms to localize their overseas workforces. To remain competitive, there is an urgent need for engineering curriculum reform to focus on AI, data science, and soft skills. The government is also urged to consider mandatory compensation packages for mass layoffs to protect the workforce.
- The Indian IT industry contributes approximately 7% to the national GDP and employs nearly 6 million people.
- AI-driven automation is replacing routine tasks like basic coding and reporting, necessitating a shift to high-value, specialized services.
- Restrictive US immigration policies and increased H-1B visa fees are impacting the cost-arbitrage model of Indian IT firms.
Prime Minister Narendra Modi is set to launch a ₹1 lakh crore fund at the first Emerging Science and Technology Innovation Conclave (ESTIC) 2025 in New Delhi. The fund is designed to promote private sector-driven investments in research and development (R&D). ESTIC is a flagship government event intended to be held annually to align innovation with national goals. The three-day conclave will host over 3,000 participants from various sectors. This initiative reflects the government's commitment to making India a global hub for science and technology by incentivizing private participation in high-end research.
- The ₹1 lakh crore fund aims to catalyze private sector R&D spending.
- ESTIC 2025 is the inaugural edition of a planned annual flagship science event.
- The initiative seeks to align scientific innovation with India's long-term national development goals.
Data indicates that while AI is not directly displacing workers in most cases, companies are restructuring and laying off employees to manage higher spending on AI transformation. In 2024, tech giants like Amazon, Meta, and TCS announced significant job cuts or redeployments. However, there is a surge in demand for AI-related skills, with workers possessing these skills earning significantly higher wages. Global corporate investment in AI reached $252.3 billion in 2024. The labor market is seeing a "pivot" where hiring for AI roles is growing rapidly, particularly in countries like India, Brazil, and Saudi Arabia, while traditional roles face stagnation.
- Global corporate investment in AI has increased 13 times compared to a decade ago.
- Hardware and retail sectors accounted for the largest shares of tech layoffs in 2025.
- India leads in relative AI hiring rates with a year-over-year growth of over 33%.
The editorial discusses the need for revitalizing India's shipping industry, which has declined over two decades due to liberalization and reduced state support. While port infrastructure has improved under the landlord model, the domestic shipping fleet remains small. The government is now pushing for foreign companies to register ships in India through local subsidiaries to gain leverage. Initiatives like the Sagarmala project and investments in port connectivity are crucial. However, progress in merchant shipbuilding and heavy industry expertise is still lacking. The goal is to reduce dependence on foreign-owned ships, especially during global supply chain disruptions.
- The Shipping Corporation of India (SCI) has seen a decline in its global standing over recent decades.
- India currently depends heavily on foreign-owned ships for its international trade.
- The government is promoting the registration of foreign ships in India via local subsidiaries.
This editorial analyzes China's evolution from an agrarian economy to the world's 'foremost factory.' It highlights how China used manufacturing depth, labor arbitrage, and supply-chain integration to achieve industrial dominance. Despite the U.S.-China trade war and tariffs, China has maintained its position through its 'dual circulation' strategy, focusing on both domestic and international markets. The U.S. attempts at 'friend-shoring' and 'near-shoring' have largely re-routed trade flows through intermediaries like Mexico and Vietnam rather than achieving true re-industrialization. The piece concludes that China now holds significant leverage over intermediate goods, high-end technology, and critical minerals.
- China has transitioned from a nation seeking technology transfer to an indispensable node of global production and high-end technology.
- The U.S. trade deficit with China narrowed by 30% since 2017, but this was largely a diversion of trade flows through countries like Mexico and Vietnam.
- China's 'dual circulation' strategy has helped it absorb the shocks of international trade wars and domestic stimulus measures.
Indian Railways has introduced the 'Aabhar' online store on the Government e-Marketplace (GeM) to support local artisans, weavers, and tribal communities. The store features products under the One District One Product (ODOP) and Geographical Indication (GI) categories. Items are sourced from the Central Cottage Industries Emporium (CCIE) and Khadi and Village Industries Commission (KVIC). This initiative aligns with the 'Vocal for Local' campaign and aims to provide market access to marginalized sections, including rural entrepreneurs and women-led enterprises. It builds upon the success of the 'One Station One Product' (OSOP) scheme previously implemented across the railway network.
- The 'Aabhar' store is hosted on the Government e-Marketplace (GeM) to facilitate the purchase of indigenous gift items for official events.
- It promotes products from the One District One Product (ODOP) initiative and those with Geographical Indication (GI) tags.
- The initiative supports the 'Vocal for Local' campaign by providing a platform for handloom weavers and tribal artisans.
At the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit in Gyeongju, South Korea, Chinese President Xi Jinping positioned China as a champion of multilateralism and free trade. This comes as U.S. President Donald Trump skipped the summit, signaling a shift toward protectionist policies. Xi urged nations to unite against volatility and pressed for supply chain stability and green energy cooperation. He emphasized that China remains open for investment and will uphold the global trading system. The summit, representing nearly 40% of the world's population, highlighted the deepening divide between China's push for global integration and the new U.S. administration's 'reciprocal terms' trade approach.
- President Xi Jinping used the APEC forum to advocate for the multilateral trading system and global supply chain stability.
- The summit took place in Gyeongju, South Korea, with the U.S. President notably absent, represented instead by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent.
- APEC members account for approximately 40% of the global population and more than half of global goods trade.