Current Affairs

Current Affairs — 5 February 2026

5 February 2026

The Budget and the Imperative of Fiscal Consolidation: Analysis of Revenue and Expenditure Trends

The Union Budget 2026-27 emphasizes advanced technology sectors like AI and biopharma to achieve 'Viksit Bharat' by 2047. A significant shift is noted in expenditure, with revenue expenditure falling from 88% in 2014-15 to a projected 77% in 2026-27, while capital expenditure's share has increased. However, concerns remain regarding the buoyancy of tax revenues, particularly GST, which hasn't kept pace with GDP growth. The 16th Finance Commission (FC16) maintained the States' share in the divisible pool at 41% but reduced overall transfers by discontinuing revenue deficit grants. The path to a 3% fiscal deficit remains a critical goal for private investment growth.

  • Revenue expenditure as a share of total expenditure is projected to drop to 77% in 2026-27 from 88% a decade ago.
  • The 16th Finance Commission (FC16) has kept the vertical devolution to states at 41% of the divisible pool.
  • Tax buoyancy for 2026-27 is projected at 0.8, which is below the desired benchmark of 1.0.
Exam Points
  • 16th Finance Commission (FC16) recommendation for state share: 41%.
  • Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management (FRBM) Act 2018 targets: 40% debt-to-GDP ratio and 3% fiscal deficit.
  • Projected tax buoyancy for 2026-27: 0.8.
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The India-U.S. Trade Deal: Strategic Gains from Economic Diplomacy and Tariff Reductions

India has concluded a significant trade deal with the United States, following similar agreements with the EU, UK, and EFTA. This deal focuses on reducing the 18% tariff on Indian goods, which is expected to boost export competitiveness in labor-intensive sectors like apparel, gems, jewelry, and footwear. Beyond immediate economic relief, the deal serves as a cornerstone for the ongoing India-U.S. Bilateral Trade Agreement (BTA). It addresses broader issues like regulatory cooperation, supply chain resilience, and market access. This strategic reset strengthens India's position in the global manufacturing hub and deepens its integration with the world's largest import market.

  • The deal aims to reduce the high 18% tariff previously levied on various Indian export categories.
  • Key sectors benefiting include apparel, gems and jewelry, marine products, processed foods, and footwear.
  • The agreement provides a constructive basis for the ongoing India-U.S. Bilateral Trade Agreement (BTA) discussions.
Exam Points
  • Previous U.S. tariff level on certain Indian exports: 18%.
  • The U.S. is India's largest import market and biggest export destination.
  • Key trade partners mentioned: EFTA (European Free Trade Association), EU, UK, UAE, and Australia.
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A Turning Point for Nuclear Deterrence: Shifting Global Security Architectures and Lessons from Ukraine

The global nuclear landscape is undergoing a significant shift as traditional arms control treaties, like New START, face expiration. The article discusses how the U.S. commitment to NATO is being questioned, potentially forcing Europe to rethink its security architecture. The war in Ukraine has reignited debates on nuclear deterrence, demonstrating that while nuclear threats exist, they do not always prevent conventional conflict. Meanwhile, major powers like China, Russia, and the U.S. are modernizing their arsenals. The 'taboo' on nuclear use is weakening as nations develop smaller, 'usable' tactical weapons, signaling a potential return to Cold War-era levels of nuclear tension.

  • The New START treaty between Russia and the U.S. is set to expire on February 5, 2026.
  • China has reportedly added 100 warheads in a single year (2023) to reach a total of 600.
  • The UK reversed its 2006 decision to reduce stockpiles, now aiming for 225 warheads.
Exam Points
  • New START Treaty expiration date: February 5, 2026.
  • Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) is the primary international framework for preventing nuclear spread.
  • China's estimated nuclear warhead count as of 2023: 600.
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Issues Surrounding UGC Regulations 2026: Supreme Court Stay and the Debate on Caste-Based Discrimination

The Supreme Court has stayed the University Grants Commission (Promotion of Equity in Higher Education Institutions) Regulations, 2026, citing concerns over ambiguity and potential misuse. The 2026 regulations introduced a specific definition of 'caste-based discrimination' limited to SC, ST, and OBC categories, which critics argue is biased and lacks safeguards against false complaints. The court has directed that the 2012 regulations, which defined discrimination more broadly (including race, religion, language, and disability), will remain in force. The debate centers on whether 'formal equality' is sufficient or if 'substantive equality' requires specific protections for historically underprivileged groups.

  • The Supreme Court stayed the UGC Regulations 2026 and reinstated the 2012 framework.
  • The 2026 regulations specifically defined 'caste-based' discrimination as targeting SC, ST, and OBC groups.
  • Critics and the court raised concerns about the lack of provisions to punish 'false' or 'motivated' complaints.
Exam Points
  • UGC (Promotion of Equity in Higher Education Institutions) Regulations, 2026.
  • Constitutional Articles involved: Article 14 and Article 15.
  • Legal Case: Mritunjay Tiwari versus Union of India.
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Denotified Tribes Seek Constitutional Recognition and Separate Column in 2027 Caste Census

Denotified, nomadic, and semi-nomadic tribes (DNTs) across India are demanding a separate column in the 2027 Census to ensure accurate identification and sub-classification. Historically labeled as 'criminal tribes' under the British-era Criminal Tribes Act of 1871 (repealed in 1952), these communities feel misclassified within existing SC, ST, and OBC categories. This misclassification hinders their access to targeted welfare schemes like SEED. Leaders argue that without a dedicated census entry and constitutional recognition, the backwardness of these nearly 1,200 communities will remain unaddressed. The Social Justice Ministry has recommended a separate schedule for DNTs to facilitate better resource allocation.

  • DNTs are demanding a 'separate column' in the upcoming 2027 caste census for formal identity.
  • The Criminal Tribes Act of 1871 originally classified these communities as 'addicted to crime.'
  • The Idate Commission identified nearly 1,200 DNT communities, many of which are currently 'misclassified.'
Exam Points
  • Criminal Tribes Act of 1871 (Repealed on August 31, 1952).
  • Idate Commission: Identified approximately 1,200 DNT communities.
  • SEED Scheme: Scheme for Economic Empowerment of DNTs.
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