India's Index of Industrial Production (IIP) growth slowed to a three-month low of 4% in September 2025. This deceleration was primarily driven by a contraction in the mining sector and a significant slowdown in consumer non-durables and primary goods. Data from the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI) indicates that the first half of the current financial year saw the slowest industrial activity in five years. While the manufacturing sector showed some resilience with 4.8% growth, economists suggest that delayed GST rate cuts might have impacted consumer demand and dealer inventory during the month.
- The mining sector contracted by 0.45% in September 2025, a sharp decline from the 6.6% growth recorded in August.
- Consumer non-durables contracted for the second consecutive month by 2.9%, reflecting weak rural and urban demand.
- The overall IIP growth for the April-September period of 2025-26 stood at 3%, the lowest in at least five years.
Data from Niti Aayog and the Ministry of Statistics reveals that Bihar continues to struggle with poor social and economic indicators. In 2022, Bihar ranked last among 27 states in the Human Development Index (HDI) with a score of 0.609. The state has the highest percentage of women (40.8%) married before the age of 18 and the lowest percentage of females who have ever attended school (61.1%). While Bihar shows some positive environmental trends, such as low plastic waste generation and fossil fuel consumption, its per capita income remains the lowest in the country.
- Bihar's HDI score of 0.609 is the lowest among the 27 states measured in 2022.
- The state has significant challenges in education, with only 17.1% Gross Enrollment Ratio in higher education.
- Bihar's infant mortality rate (IMR) was 46.8 in 2019-21, significantly higher than the national average.
The European Union and India are exploring a strategic agenda to link the Indian Carbon Market (ICM) with the EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM). This linkage aims to prevent Indian exporters from being penalized twice—once by domestic carbon prices and again by EU border levies. However, significant hurdles remain, including the underdeveloped nature of the ICM, which lacks absolute emission caps and robust independent verification. Bridging the price gap between the EU's high carbon prices (€60-€80) and India's lower prices (€5-€10) is a major technical and political challenge.
- The EU's CBAM acts as a border tax on carbon-intensive imports to ensure a level playing field for EU industries.
- The Indian Carbon Market (ICM) is currently based on intensity improvements rather than absolute emission caps.
- A successful linkage would require the ICM to mirror the compliance-grade features of the EU's Emissions Trading System (ETS).
Union Home Minister Amit Shah announced that the $5-billion Great Nicobar infrastructure project will significantly enhance India's maritime global trade. The project includes a transshipment port, a power plant, and an airport. It aims to increase India's port handling capacity from 2,700 MTPA to 10,000 MTPA. While the government views it as a strategic move to position India as a bridge between the Indo-Pacific and the Global South, the project faces criticism from environmental activists and local populations over ecological concerns and forest rights violations.
- The project aims to place India among the top five ship-building countries globally.
- It includes a transshipment port, an international airport, and a power plant in the Great Nicobar island.
- The government plans to increase port handling capacity to 10,000 million tonnes per annum (MTPA).
Paddy farmers in Tamil Nadu's Cauvery delta are facing severe procurement issues due to high moisture content caused by unseasonal rains. The state government has requested the Union Ministry of Consumer Affairs to relax the permissible moisture content limit from 17% to 22%. Under the decentralized procurement scheme, the state government procures paddy on behalf of the Centre, which pays the Minimum Support Price (MSP). The lack of adequate Direct Purchase Centres (DPCs) and storage infrastructure has left many farmers vulnerable to private traders and crop damage.
- Unseasonal rains have increased the moisture content of Kuruvai paddy, making it difficult to meet procurement standards.
- The Tamil Nadu Civil Supplies Corporation (TNCSC) is the primary agency for paddy procurement in the state.
- Decentralized procurement allows states to manage the logistics of grain collection while the Centre monitors quality.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has introduced three measures to facilitate INR-based transactions with Nepal, Bhutan, and Sri Lanka. These include allowing authorized dealers to lend INR to non-residents for cross-border trade and permitting Special Rupee Vostro Accounts for investments in corporate bonds. For Nepal, these moves aim to reduce dependence on the US dollar, ease currency availability, and lower the Current Account Deficit (CAD). India remains Nepal's largest trading partner and investor, accounting for 33% of its total Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and 65% of its international trade.
- RBI's new measures allow foreign banks with Special Rupee Vostro Accounts to invest in Indian corporate bonds.
- The internationalization of the Rupee aims to shield the Nepalese economy from US dollar exchange rate fluctuations.
- India is Nepal's largest export destination, receiving 67% of its total exports, including edible oil and tea.
At the 22nd ASEAN-India summit in Kuala Lumpur, Prime Minister Narendra Modi highlighted the Comprehensive Strategic Partnership as a cornerstone for global stability. He announced that 2026 would be observed as the 'ASEAN-India Year of Maritime Cooperation' to deepen naval ties. Discussions focused on finalizing the ASEAN-India Trade in Goods Agreement (AITIGA) and implementing the 2026-2030 Plan of Action. India emphasized collaboration in digital inclusion, food security, and resilient supply chains. Malaysian PM Anwar Ibrahim noted that the relationship is rooted in shared values of friendship and trust, representing nearly one-fourth of the global population.
- The year 2026 has been declared as the 'ASEAN-India Year of Maritime Cooperation' to strengthen security ties.
- Negotiations are underway to finalize the ASEAN-India Trade in Goods Agreement (AITIGA) to unlock economic potential.
- India views ASEAN as a vital cultural partner and a key companion in the Global South framework.
The U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS) has clarified that current H-1B visa holders seeking extensions or switching visa categories (e.g., from F-1 to H-1B) will not have to pay the new $1,00,000 fee. This fee applies only to new applications made after September 21. While the clarification provides some relief to the IT industry and international students, concerns remain regarding the overall trend of tightening immigration controls and the potential for future policy shifts that could impact Indian professionals and students.
- The $1,00,000 fee for H-1B applications is a significant hurdle for small businesses and start-ups.
- Fee exemptions apply to those already in the H-1B system seeking extensions or renewals.
- Indian students saw a 44% decline in arrivals in August compared to the previous year due to policy uncertainty.
The proposed mega-port at Galathea Bay in Great Nicobar is facing scrutiny over its economic viability and environmental impact. Proponents argue it will make India a regional maritime hub, but critics point out significant structural limitations, including the lack of a natural hinterland and industrial base. Unlike established hubs like Colombo or Singapore, Great Nicobar lacks the necessary network connectivity and feeder links. The project's success depends on attracting major shipping lines, which currently prefer established routes. The article suggests that strategic military interests should be pursued transparently rather than being masked by questionable commercial justifications for a high-cost infrastructure project.
- Galathea Bay lacks a 'hinterland' (urban centers or industrial zones), meaning all cargo must be shipped in and out, significantly increasing operating costs.
- The project faces stiff competition from established transshipment hubs like Colombo, Singapore, and the new Vizhinjam port in Kerala.
- Successful transshipment hubs require deep-seated carrier relationships and integrated logistics, which are currently missing in the Great Nicobar plan.
The Tamil Nadu government has proposed amendments to the Tamil Nadu Factories Rules, 1950, to allow women to work in 20 operations previously classified as 'dangerous'. These include processes involving glass manufacture, chemicals, and explosives. The move aims to dismantle patriarchal barriers and provide equitable workplace opportunities. However, the proposal emphasizes that factories must provide necessary facilities like separate toilets, changing rooms, and medical check areas. While progressive, the policy mandates that women cannot be forced into these roles, and pregnant women or young persons remain barred from hazardous tasks.
- Proposed amendments to Tamil Nadu Factories Rules, 1950, will allow women in 20 'dangerous' operations.
- Operations include electrolytic processes, glass manufacture, and handling carcinogenic dye intermediates.
- Factories must provide gender-specific infrastructure like separate toilets and drop-home facilities for night shifts.
The U.S. Treasury has sanctioned Russia's largest oil companies, Rosneft and Lukoil, to curb funding for the war in Ukraine. This move has pushed global oil prices up by 3%. U.S. President Donald Trump stated that India has agreed to stop buying Russian oil by the end of the year. Indian refineries, including Reliance Industries, are recalibrating their procurement strategies to align with new government guidelines. Currently, Russia accounts for over 30% of India's crude imports, but this is expected to drop significantly as firms wind down transactions by November 21, 2025.
- The U.S. Treasury has targeted Rosneft and Lukoil to restrict the 'Kremlin's war machine' funding.
- India's share of Russian oil imports peaked at 35.47% in 2024 but is now on a downward trend.
- Reliance Industries and other major Indian refiners are planning to reduce or cease imports from sanctioned Russian entities.
A decline in global crude oil prices, with Brent falling 16% this year to around $61 a barrel, offers significant economic relief for India. As the world's third-largest oil importer, India benefits from reduced import bills, which totaled $137 billion in 2024-25. Lower prices help narrow the current account deficit (CAD) and reduce the government's subsidy burden. The price drop is attributed to an economic slowdown in China, increased production from non-OPEC+ countries like the US and Brazil, and the growing global adoption of electric vehicles (EVs).
- Crude oil remains the world's most valued commodity, with over 100 million barrels produced daily and nearly half traded globally.
- The International Energy Agency (IEA) predicts an oversupplied market next year, potentially leading to further price declines of 10% to 20%.
- While lower prices improve India's fiscal balance, the cyclical nature of oil markets requires long-term consumption mitigation strategies.
India has become the world's third-largest producer of solar power, trailing only China and the United States. According to the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA), India generated 1,08,494 GWh of solar energy in 2024-25. To meet its climate commitments, India aims to source 50% of its power from non-fossil sources by 2030, requiring approximately 250-280 GW from solar alone. This necessitates adding 30 GW of capacity annually. The editorial emphasizes the need for India to expand into global markets, particularly Africa, through the International Solar Alliance (ISA) to sustain its growing manufacturing capacity.
- India's solar module manufacturing capacity has grown significantly from 2 GW in 2014 to a projected 100 GW in 2025.
- Domestic solar power is now cheaper than coal-based power, driving investment in large-scale ground-mounted projects.
- Flagship schemes like PM-KUSUM and PM Surya Ghar are pivotal for domestic adoption and can serve as models for export to energy-deficient regions.
According to Reserve Bank of India (RBI) data, net Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) into India fell by 159% in August 2025, resulting in a net outflow of $616 million. This marks the second time in the current financial year that outflows (repatriation and disinvestment) exceeded gross inflows. Gross investments stood at $6,049 million, a 30.6% decline compared to August 2024. However, the long-term picture remains positive, with net FDI between April and August 2025 being 121% higher than the same period in the previous year, driven by increased gross inflows and contracted repatriation.
- Net FDI turned negative in August 2025 due to high levels of repatriation and disinvestment by foreign firms.
- Gross inflows in August 2025 were 45.5% lower than in July 2025.
- Despite the monthly dip, the cumulative net FDI for April-August 2025 reached $10,128 million.
The U.S. government clarified that the new $100,000 fee on H-1B visas will not apply to applications for a change of status or extensions of stay for existing visa holders. This follows a proclamation by President Donald Trump aimed at new applications. The U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS) guidelines specify that current H-1B holders can continue to travel freely. This relief is particularly significant for Indian students on F-1 visas, who constitute a large share of H-1B beneficiaries, and Indian IT firms like TCS, which are major users of the program.
- The $100,000 fee is a one-time charge applicable only to new H-1B visa applications.
- Existing visa holders seeking amendments or extensions are exempt from this specific fee.
- Indian citizens comprise approximately 70% of the 7.3 lakh H-1B visa holders in the U.S.
Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman announced a significant simplification of the Goods and Services Tax (GST) regime, effective September 22. The previous four-slab structure (5%, 12%, 18%, and 28%) has been streamlined into two primary slabs of 5% and 18%, with a special 40% rate reserved for specific luxury or demerit goods. This restructuring has led to price drops for 54 items of daily use, including motorcycles, cars, and televisions. The Minister emphasized that manufacturers have successfully passed these tax benefits to consumers, resulting in a notable surge in sales for two-wheelers and passenger vehicles.
- The GST regime was simplified on September 22 to reduce the complexity of the tax structure.
- The four existing tax slabs have been consolidated into two main slabs of 5% and 18%.
- A special 40% tax rate is applied to a specific category of goods.
During the first India-Egypt Strategic Dialogue, Egyptian Foreign Minister Badr Abdelatty stated that the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC) cannot proceed without progress on the Palestinian question. The IMEC project, launched at the 2023 G-20 Summit, has stalled due to the Gaza war. Egypt invited India to join the Suez Canal Economic Zone (SCZONE), where countries like Russia and China already have industrial complexes. Egypt emphasizes that a comprehensive peace deal for Israel and Palestine, including a two-state solution, is essential for regional connectivity projects to be viable.
- The IMEC project is intended to route through Israel's Haifa port, making regional peace a prerequisite.
- Egypt is proposing an Indian industrial zone within the Suez Canal Economic Zone (SCZONE).
- Bilateral trade between India and Egypt is targeted to double from the current $5 billion.
The Comptroller and Auditor-General (CAG) of India’s report on Tamil Nadu’s finances for 2023-24 reveals mixed results. While the state successfully lowered its debt-to-GSDP ratio to 28%, meeting one of its three fiscal targets, other indicators showed decline. The revenue deficit increased by 0.15% of GSDP compared to the previous year, reaching ₹45,121 crore. Additionally, the Fiscal Deficit-to-GSDP ratio stood at 3.32%, which is higher than the 3% target set under the Tamil Nadu State Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management (FRBM) Act. The debt figure includes Off-Budget Borrowings (OBB).
- Tamil Nadu met the target of bringing the debt-GSDP ratio below 29.1%, achieving 28%.
- The revenue deficit rose to ₹45,121 crore, which is 71.5% higher than Medium Term Fiscal Plan projections.
- The state failed to meet the fiscal deficit target of 3% of GSDP by March 2025.
The U.S. Chamber of Commerce has filed a lawsuit against the Trump administration’s decision to impose a $100,000 fee on new H-1B visa applications. The lawsuit argues that this hike overrides existing laws and makes the program cost-prohibitive for employers, especially startups. The H-1B program is vital for high-skilled jobs where local talent is scarce. Data shows that nearly 60% of Indian H-1B workers earn $100,000 or less, meaning the fee could exceed their annual pay. Major Indian firms like TCS, Infosys, and Wipro are significant beneficiaries of this program and would be heavily impacted by the increased costs.
- The fee hike aims to discourage US employers from replacing American workers with cheaper foreign labor.
- The US Chamber of Commerce argues the fee is unlawful as it exceeds the actual processing costs incurred by the government.
- Approximately 70% of the 7.3 lakh H-1B visa holders in the US are Indian nationals.
The transition to GST and the end of the compensation period have significantly squeezed the fiscal space of Indian States. While GST was intended as a shared tax, States feel a loss of autonomy as the Centre dominates the GST Council. The article notes that actual tax devolution has consistently fallen short of Finance Commission recommendations due to the Centre's increasing reliance on cesses and surcharges, which are not shared with States. To restore fiscal balance, suggestions include restructuring GST slabs, merging the compensation cess with the regular tax, and empowering States to collect a share of personal income tax to reduce dependency.
- The 15th Finance Commission recommended 41% tax devolution, but actual transfers are lower due to non-divisible cesses.
- The end of the GST compensation period in June 2022 has created a major revenue gap for many Indian States.
- Vertical fiscal imbalance persists as the Centre collects the majority of taxes while States handle most developmental spending.
As India develops its Carbon Credit Trading Scheme (CCTS), it must learn from global failures where carbon projects exploited local communities. Carbon markets reward emission reductions but risk becoming 'modern plantations' that bypass land rights and customary usage. The article highlights the Northern Kenya Rangelands project as a cautionary tale of top-down governance. For India, especially in agriculture and forestry, it is vital to ensure Free, Prior, and Informed Consent (FPIC), equitable benefit-sharing, and transparent legal frameworks. This prevents the marginalization of smallholders and tribal communities while ensuring that climate action does not come at the cost of social justice.
- India is establishing its own Carbon Credit Trading Scheme (CCTS) to set emission benchmarks for energy-intensive sectors.
- Carbon projects in afforestation and agriculture often extend into areas with customary land use, risking local displacement.
- The principle of Free, Prior, and Informed Consent (FPIC) is essential to ensure community-led resource management.
India and the United States continue to differ publicly over Russian oil imports. U.S. President Donald Trump claimed Prime Minister Narendra Modi assured him India would stop buying oil from Russia 'soon.' However, India's Ministry of External Affairs (MEA) denied such a conversation took place on the specified date. The MEA clarified that India is 'broad-basing' and 'diversifying' its energy sources to protect national interests rather than committing to an immediate halt. This disagreement highlights ongoing U.S. pressure on India's energy ties with Russia, while India maintains its stance against unilateral sanctions and double standards in global energy trade.
- Donald Trump claims PM Modi committed to ending Russian oil imports; the MEA officially denies this claim.
- India is pursuing a strategy of diversifying energy sources to meet market needs rather than an abrupt cessation.
- The U.S. has imposed parity tariffs on India, partly linked to the ongoing friction over Russian oil trade.
Indian cities generate nearly two-thirds of the national GDP but control less than 1% of the country's tax revenue. The introduction of GST led to the loss of local taxes like octroi, making municipalities dependent on intergovernmental transfers. The article argues for 'fiscal democracy,' where cities have the right to levy taxes directly, similar to Scandinavian models. It suggests that municipal bonds and a share of GST compensation could restore cooperative federalism and ensure cities are seen as foundations of national prosperity rather than just cost centers.
- Municipalities lack fiscal autonomy and predictable revenue streams, leading to a 'peculiar inversion of democracy.'
- Over-centralization of taxation has weakened local governance and service delivery.
- Reforms should include empowering cities to earmark a portion of GST compensation for municipal borrowing.
The India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC) aims to enhance maritime and rail connectivity between India, the Arabian Peninsula, and Europe. Despite initial optimism following the Abraham Accords, the security situation in West Asia (Israel-Hamas conflict) has raised questions about its feasibility. However, the corridor remains strategically important for India to access European markets and bypass volatile routes like the Red Sea. The article emphasizes that IMEC is a multi-member initiative that offers space for innovative geopolitical adaptations and remains a vital alternative to other trade routes.
- IMEC includes maritime links, high-speed rail, clean hydrogen pipelines, and digital cables.
- Europe is India's largest trade partner, making the corridor economically vital for resilient supply chains.
- Geopolitical instability in West Asia, particularly the Israel-Hamas conflict, is the primary hurdle for implementation.