IMD launches 'block-level' monsoon forecast model for hyper-local predictions in 15 States
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has unveiled a new 'block-level' monsoon forecast system, providing hyper-local predictions for the first time across 15 States and one Union Territory, covering about half of India's 7,200 blocks. This system, developed by the Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, blends AI-based analysis with IMD's historical data and global weather models to offer four-week probabilistic forecasts. It aims to assist farmers with precise sowing times, addressing the previous limitation of State or district-level forecasts. The system will face a significant test this year due to the expected "below normal" rainfall influenced by El Nino.
Key Points
- IMD launched a new 'block-level' monsoon forecast system for hyper-local predictions.
- The system covers approximately half of India's blocks across 15 States and one Union Territory.
- It uses AI-based analysis, IMD's historical data, and global weather models to provide four-week probabilistic forecasts.
- The primary goal is to provide precise sowing times for farmers, improving agricultural planning.
- The model will be tested by the expected "below normal" rainfall this year due to El Nino.
Exam Facts
- Agency: India Meteorological Department (IMD).
- Developed by: Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology (research institute of Ministry of Earth Sciences).
- Coverage: 3,196 blocks across 15 States and 1 Union Territory.
- Uttar Pradesh model: 1-km resolution, 10-day validity, based on Mithuna model (12.5-km resolution).
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